Our Track Record

Transparency is everything. Here's how our model has performed.

Overall Performance

Outright Winner Accuracy

-- wins / -- losses

Avg Confidence

Model certainty

Events Tracked

UFC cards analyzed

Total Fights

Predictions made

Last updated: --

Note: Accuracy statistics reflect winner predictions only. Method of victory, round predictions, and finish times are provided as supplemental analysis but are not included in these performance metrics.

Performance by Confidence Level

Not all predictions are equal. Our model assigns confidence levels (High/Medium/Low) to every pick. Here's how each tier performs:

High Confidence

Medium Confidence

Low Confidence

Last 5 Events

What Do These Numbers Mean?

The Bottom Line:

A -- win rate means roughly -- out of 10 picks hit
That beats random guessing (50% coin flip)
And competes with Vegas favorite odds (typically 60-65%)

High Confidence Picks Perform Better

High confidence picks (70%+) win at a -- rate
Medium confidence picks are less certain - tread carefully
Low confidence fights are unpredictable, but still data-backed

Real Talk: We're not perfect - and we never will be. MMA is one of the most unpredictable sports. Upsets happen. Injuries happen. Crazy finishes happen. But our data-driven approach gives you a real edge over gut feelings and bias.

See Current Predictions View Past Results