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V3.8 Mar 2026 update — Found a grappling imbalance skewing our finish predictions. Corrected the weighting. Validation across 175 fights showed meaningful gains.

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Octagon Algorithm Wars provides data-driven fight analysis for MMA fans. We are not a sportsbook, we do not accept wagers, and we have no affiliation with betting operators or the UFC®. If you choose to use our analysis for wagering, please gamble responsibly.

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