Did the Model Get Ankalaev vs. Guskov Right?
Yes on the winner, wrong on the method. The model had Magomed Ankalaev at 63% confidence to beat Bogdan Guskov by decision. Instead, Ankalaev finished him — TKO via punches on the ground, round 5, 2:41. That's a method miss on paper, but the actual path to the finish was almost exactly what the model's own preview flagged: if this fight went long enough for Guskov to run out of answers, Ankalaev's pace would take over. It did. It just took over hard enough to end the fight instead of just winning rounds.
How One-Sided Was It Really?
Very. Ankalaev outlanded Guskov 156 to 45 in total strikes and controlled him for 8:26 with zero control time surrendered in return. By round 5, Guskov had nothing left — Ankalaev was landing takedowns almost at will (2 of 4 attempts) and working him over on the mat until the finish came. The fight the model previewed as a pace-versus-power question turned into pace erasing power entirely once the fight got deep enough for it to matter.
What Else Happened This Week?
The card finished 5-2 (71.4%) on the model's graded predictions. Two misses: Ramazan Temirov over Steve Erceg, and Nurullo Aliev's pressure grinding out a clean decision over Mike Davis — a fighter the model liked for his two-way finishing threat that never got a chance to show up. One fight, Islam Dulatov vs. Wellington Turman, was ruled a no-contest after Dulatov withdrew due to illness and does not count toward the record either way.
What's Next?
Attention turns to Medić vs. Rodriguez next card. The model's breakdown drops Thursday.
Model record this card: 5-2 (71.4%). Main event confidence: 63%, correct winner, method miss (predicted decision, actual TKO).