Did the Model Get Gamrot vs. Salkilld Right?
No — and it's worth saying plainly before anything else. The model had Mateusz Gamrot at 52% confidence, a Low-tier pick built on his wrestling base and championship pedigree against a 26-year-old still building his resume. Quillan Salkilld had other plans, taking Gamrot's back and finishing him by rear-naked choke with 35 seconds left in the first round.
How Did Salkilld Actually Win It?
Not the way the model expected a striker to beat a two-time champion wrestler. Salkilld took the fight to Gamrot from the opening bell and held a clear striking advantage early, but the finish came from his grappling, not his hands. He took Gamrot down, worked his way to the back, and locked in a rear-naked choke with 35 seconds left in the first round, forcing the tap at 4:25. It was his fourth consecutive first-round finish, and it puts him at 6-0 in the UFC with 14 straight wins overall since a single loss in his professional debut. Whatever the model's pre-fight number said, that performance earned the record — Salkilld made a believer out of us.
How Did the Rest of the Card Go?
Solid outside the main event: 6 of 8 graded fights correct (75%). Darren Elkins over Yadier del Valle at 90% was the card's highest-confidence pick and the cleanest hit. The rest landed across a real range of confidence — Ty Miller over Billy Ray Goff (53%), Diyar Nurgozhay over Bruno Lopes (54%), Steven Asplund over Guilherme Pat (62%), Amanda Lemos over Alexia Thainara (70%), and Juliana Miller over Ana Oliveira (61%) all went the model's way. Full official scorecards are here for anyone tracking the judging on the decisions.
What Was the Other Miss?
Diego Ferreira over Billy Quarantillo. The model had Quarantillo at 58%, and Ferreira took it by clear decision instead — a real winner miss, not just a method question, on a card that was otherwise one of the stronger showings of the season outside the main event.
Model record this card: 6-2 (75%). Main event confidence: 52% on Gamrot, wrong winner.